Portsmouth have already shown more attacking intent this season, scoring five goals in three Championship games, while Derby have conceded seven and remain without a league win after two defeats and a draw. The home advantage could be decisive, especially with Derby coming off a damaging 0–3 defeat to Swansea. Despite Portsmouth’s own defensive issues and the absence of Josh Murphy, the overall momentum and attacking edge still point toward Pompey taking the three points.

Analysis by Broker Heisenberg - Updated Sep 1, 2026