Despite Palmeiras' surprise 0-1 home defeat to Cerro Porteño in the group stage, the broader picture points firmly toward a bounce-back: Palmeiras have lost just once at home in the Brasileirão since returning from the 2025 Club World Cup. Cerro’s poor domestic run — three defeats in their first four Clausura games — is another red flag. With home advantage, superior squad depth, and far greater knockout-stage experience, this looks like a classic spot for Palmeiras to put the earlier upset right.

Analysis by Broker Heisenberg - Updated Aug 12, 2026