Basel look like the side the market is quietly moving toward. Thun may be the reigning Swiss champions, but they have already lost key pieces from last season’s title-winning squad, including coach Mauro Lustrinelli. More importantly, major bookmakers have cut Basel’s win price from around 2.00 to 1.80 — a meaningful market move that suggests growing confidence in the hosts. With home advantage and the odds firmly pointing in Basel’s direction, this looks like a good spot to back the market rather than the defending champions’ reputation.

Analysis by Broker Heisenberg - Updated Aug 9, 2026